Kept & Counted

The raw record — kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 25 · Thursday, July 16, 2026

daily edition · the machine's output as it shipped — no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-07-16 (Thu)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-07-16 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 11 · COILING 77 (cohering 45 / diverging 12) · FRESH_BREAK 3

🌐 REGIME — CONFIRMED UPTREND

wind at the back — hunt the ⭐ coils today 164↑ / 112↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +32 · T2108 71% above 40-d MA ⚖️ Breadth divergence: NEGATIVE — price made a higher high but breadth did NOT — leadership narrowing

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-07-15)

  • 🚀 BROKE OUT (setup→fresh): $SMG
  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $DBX, $QLYS, $OII, $ETSY, $EAT, $XYZ, $MUSA, $FTRE, $THRM, $PTGX
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $DAR
  • 🌀 new coil: $M, $AMN, $SHOO, $CNC, $BOX, $MLKN, $HGV, $SEZL, $PCRX, $LAD, $TOL, $COLM, $TILE, $JBSS, $HZO, $DBD, $XPO, $MIDD, $BIIB, $TGTX, $TXRH, $OMC, $VSXY, $KNX
  • ➖ dropped out: $ILMN, $NTCT, $WERN, $VAC, $MOH, $CROX, $ZD, $SAH, $FA, $MOG.A, $CYTK, $OSCR, $LNTH, $CW, $GH, $ATI, $SN, $AIR, $AMRX, $VLO, $LQDT

🚦 Gate — CONFIRMED UPTREND

Full hunt — wind at the back. ⭐ longs lead; the gate is open. ⚖️ Breadth divergence: NEGATIVE — generals making highs the army isn’t confirming; leadership narrowing. Longs tightened to decisive-only. regime gate suppressed 11 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $CENTA (-2.5% from high, 4%/day, +16% 3mo) — 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $OPLN (-5.2% from high, 3%/day, +32% 3mo) — 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high; range contracting
  • $PENN (-4.9% from high, 4%/day, +33% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $BLFS (-0.2% from high, 4%/day, +43% 3mo) — 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $VCYT (-2.8% from high, 4%/day, +74% 3mo) — 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $DBD (-4.4% from high, 3%/day, +0% 3mo) — 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $HWM (-6.7% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $AZZ (-6.8% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $INSW (-4.8% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $XPO (-5.5% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $ETSY -4.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +44% $ 218M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MUSA -5.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +20% $ 169M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $XYZ -3.0% 3.5%/day 3mo +20% $ 390M 4G/1R accu MIXED
  • $EAT -3.5% 4.1%/day 3mo +18% $ 168M 6G/3R neut MIXED
  • $FTRE -4.0% 5.2%/day 3mo +78% $ 19M 3G/1R neut MIXED
  • $OII -4.3% 3.8%/day 3mo +18% $ 39M 0G/0R neut MIXED
  • $DBX -6.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +29% $ 103M 3G/0R accu MIXED
  • $QLYS -6.1% 5.0%/day 3mo +85% $ 105M 2G/1R accu MIXED
  • $THRM -6.0% 3.4%/day 3mo +30% $ 11M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $PTGX -6.4% 4.1%/day 3mo +25% $ 103M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $DAR -7.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +5% $ 135M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $SNDR -2.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +41% $ 32M 3G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $CBT -3.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +25% $ 41M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $INSW -4.8% 4.7%/day 3mo +18% $ 46M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $XPO -5.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +4% $ 239M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $THRM -6.0% 3.4%/day 3mo +30% $ 11M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $PTGX -6.4% 4.1%/day 3mo +25% $ 103M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $JCI -6.6% 3.3%/day 3mo +3% $ 669M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $KNX -6.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +26% $ 268M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $HWM -6.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 692M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $AZZ -6.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +13% $ 50M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $TILE -7.3% 3.2%/day 3mo +25% $ 15M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $DAR -7.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +5% $ 135M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $BLFS -0.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +43% $ 20M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TXRH -0.2% 3.1%/day 3mo +21% $ 170M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PRG -0.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +58% $ 23M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $BURL -0.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +5% $ 200M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $WT -0.9% 3.9%/day 3mo +18% $ 48M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -1.0% 5.0%/day 3mo +50% $ 130M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ACIW -1.1% 3.8%/day 3mo +38% $ 61M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $KTB -1.2% 3.5%/day 3mo +22% $ 69M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $EPC -1.2% 4.3%/day 3mo +31% $ 24M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ACHC -1.2% 4.9%/day 3mo +26% $ 91M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $YETI -1.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +32% $ 49M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $VCEL -1.9% 4.0%/day 3mo +35% $ 26M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $IART -2.0% 4.1%/day 3mo +80% $ 16M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $IVZ -2.3% 3.5%/day 3mo +23% $ 131M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CENTA -2.5% 3.6%/day 3mo +16% $ 11M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $VCYT -2.8% 4.5%/day 3mo +74% $ 63M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $RRR -3.3% 3.2%/day 3mo +18% $ 39M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRL -3.7% 4.0%/day 3mo +27% $ 196M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $GKOS -3.8% 3.9%/day 3mo +28% $ 108M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PANW -3.9% 4.5%/day 3mo+116% $ 2537M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SWK -4.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +36% $ 140M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $DBD -4.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +0% $ 23M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $NEO -4.7% 4.7%/day 3mo +71% $ 43M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PENN -4.9% 3.8%/day 3mo +33% $ 65M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $OPLN -5.2% 3.2%/day 3mo +32% $ 34M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $INDV -5.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +25% $ 66M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $AMN -5.7% 4.9%/day 3mo +77% $ 30M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CORT -5.7% 4.0%/day 3mo+104% $ 93M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $MD -5.7% 3.6%/day 3mo +19% $ 21M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $DDOG -5.9% 5.2%/day 3mo+117% $ 1023M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OKTA -5.9% 5.3%/day 3mo+119% $ 416M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CXW -6.0% 3.8%/day 3mo +53% $ 45M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FTDR -6.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +25% $ 50M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CRWD -6.3% 4.6%/day 3mo +98% $ 2027M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ELAN -6.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +12% $ 105M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $MIDD -6.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +23% $ 120M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SAIC -6.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +19% $ 61M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $JBSS -7.0% 3.0%/day 3mo +6% $ 9M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PRLB -7.0% 3.1%/day 3mo +22% $ 17M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $VSXY -7.0% 4.2%/day 3mo +66% $ 130M 2G/0R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $SNOW -5.3% 4.6%/day 3mo +87% $ 1230M 0G/0R neut MIXED

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $FBRX — 5/5 days
  • $IONZ — 5/5 days
  • $APLZ — 5/5 days
  • $TRAX — 5/5 days
  • $CRNX — 5/5 days
  • $IREZ — 5/5 days
  • $SKYQ — 5/5 days
  • $ALIT — 5/5 days
  • $SNAL — 5/5 days
  • $COAG — 5/5 days
  • $RPD — 5/5 days
  • $CLRO — 5/5 days
  • $VSTM — 5/5 days
  • $AARD — 5/5 days
  • $VEEE — 4/5 days
  • $RGTZ — 4/5 days
  • $QBTZ — 4/5 days
  • $AGEN — 4/5 days
  • $PBF — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $FIGG — 4/5 days
  • $MNPR — 4/5 days
  • $NABL — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $NTSK — 4/5 days
  • $PARR — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PSNL — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $CENTA

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $INSW

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $CPRX

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +156.1 ATR above the 200d — -3.3% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0716 (17)

CENTA,OPLN,PENN,BLFS,VCYT,DBD,ETSY,MUSA,XYZ,EAT,FTRE,OII,DBX,QLYS,THRM,PTGX,DAR

KC_Coils_D_0716 (45)

BLFS,TXRH,PRG,BURL,WT,PBF,ACIW,KTB,EPC,ACHC,YETI,VCEL,IART,IVZ,CENTA,VCYT,RRR,CRL,GKOS,PANW,SWK,DBD,NEO,PENN,OPLN,INDV,AMN,CORT,MD,DDOG,OKTA,CXW,FTDR,CRWD,ELAN,MIDD,SAIC,JBSS,PRLB,VSXY,HGV,TGTX,TOL,HZO,SEZL

KC_Fakes_D_0716 (12)

THRM,PTGX,DAR,SNDR,CBT,INSW,XPO,JCI,KNX,HWM,AZZ,TILE

KC_OffIdx_D_0716 (1)

SNOW

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.